May 26, 2004

» More about the real science of psychohistory. First article I've seen that makes the reference so explicitly, though. Me! Me! I noticed it first! Honest!

Asimov's Foundation novels - the most famous science-fiction trilogy between Lord of the Rings and Star Wars - described a new science of social behavior called psychohistory. Mixing psychology with math, psychohistory hijacked the methods of physics to precisely predict the future course of human events.

Today, Asimov's vision is no longer wholly fiction. His psychohistory exists in a loose confederation of research enterprises seeking equations that capture patterns in human behavior. These enterprises go by different names and treat different aspects of the issue. But they all share a goal of better understanding the present in order to foresee the future, and possibly help shape it.